Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.036590 0.039996 0.043451 0.047210 0.051177 0.055235 0.059692
2025-08-10 0.029397 0.034200 0.039262 0.044970 0.051203 0.057776 0.065209
2025-08-17 0.024911 0.030678 0.036971 0.044291 0.052510 0.061400 0.071684
2025-08-24 0.021419 0.027835 0.035066 0.043713 0.053664 0.064658 0.077625
2025-08-31 0.019649 0.026740 0.034951 0.044995 0.056785 0.070030 0.085882
2025-09-07 0.017985 0.025579 0.034601 0.045871 0.059336 0.074689 0.093302
2025-09-14 0.016418 0.024377 0.034069 0.046415 0.061408 0.078735 0.099983
2025-09-21 0.014879 0.023066 0.033282 0.046545 0.062904 0.082049 0.105777
2025-09-28 0.014057 0.022605 0.033492 0.047848 0.065780 0.086978 0.113470
2025-10-05 0.012529 0.021077 0.032235 0.047224 0.066223 0.088945 0.117617
2025-10-12 0.011448 0.020070 0.031580 0.047300 0.067481 0.091859 0.122872
2025-10-19 0.010678 0.019439 0.031373 0.047908 0.069376 0.095532 0.129041
2025-10-26 0.010113 0.019087 0.031545 0.049040 0.071988 0.100166 0.136494
2025-11-02 0.008635 0.017258 0.029590 0.047271 0.070823 0.100083 0.138160
2025-11-09 0.007716 0.016206 0.028658 0.046821 0.071321 0.102047 0.142331
2025-11-16 0.006880 0.015209 0.027743 0.046341 0.071740 0.103886 0.146334
2025-11-23 0.006626 0.015146 0.028181 0.047733 0.074642 0.108892 0.154317
2025-11-30 0.006274 0.014887 0.028307 0.048672 0.076936 0.113128 0.161355
2025-12-07 0.005861 0.014486 0.028191 0.049251 0.078736 0.116730 0.167606
2025-12-14 0.005379 0.013919 0.027788 0.049393 0.079926 0.119539 0.172856
2025-12-21 0.005204 0.013898 0.028227 0.050752 0.082785 0.124528 0.180903
2025-12-28 0.004619 0.013052 0.027320 0.050104 0.082856 0.125861 0.184274
2026-01-04 0.004229 0.012543 0.026921 0.050184 0.083918 0.128484 0.189299